Part 1
Accident and Incident Modelling & Uncertainty Analysis
CONTENTS
PREFACE
Behnam Akbari, Chao Zhang, Giovanni Sansavini
Short-Term Security Assessment Of Natural Gas Supply In European Union And Policy Insights
15
Behnam Graciane Santos Brito, Anastácio Pinto Gonçalves Filho
Bigest Industrial Disaster In Brazil: Six Stages Of Development
25
Shi-Shun Chen, Wen-Bin Chen, Xiao-Yang Li
Reliability Modeling And Analysis Of Lithium-Ion Battery Packs In Renewable Energy Systems
35
Camila Correa-Jullian, Marilia Ramos, Ali Mosleh, Jiaqi Ma
Task Allocation And Control Transitions In Autonomous Driving System Operations
45
Flávio de Azevedo Corrêa Junior, Elton Cecon, Rodrigo Mendes Cordeiro, Guilherme Manfrim Siviero, Moacyr Machado Cardoso Jr, Lucas Novelino Abdala
Using AcciMap As Systemic Analysis Tool
55
Tobias Demmer, Ingo Schönwandt, Kai-Dietrich Wolf
Resilience Management Of Critical Infrastructures: Assessing Control Strategies Under Societal Values
And Model Uncertainties
65
Lanxin Anastácio Pinto Gonçalves Filho, Diego Pinto de Barros Leal
Resilience Management Of Critical Infrastructures: Assessing Control Strategies Under Societal Values
And Model Uncertainties
75
Lanxin Gong, Jinxiong Xiao, Changhong Peng
System Analysis And LBE Evaluation Of Ship Collision Hazards In Floating Nuclear Power Plants
85
Anwesa Kar, Rajiv Nandan Rai
Neutrosophic MCDM Based Risk: Centric Six Sigma Assessment Approach For Supplier Selection
95
Dorota Kurowicka, J. Cheeseman, T. Reis, S. Sharma, Roger Cooke, S. Mahadevan, T. Zang, J. Tai, D. Mavris
Simple Method For Uncertainty Quantification And Management At AIRBUS
105
Dorota Kurowicka, Roger Cooke
Bayesian Networks In Safety And Reliability
115
Kehui Li, Shengkui Zeng, Jianbin Guo, Haiyang Che
DBN-Based Reliability Analysis Method For Emergency Response Considering Mental Workload And
Fatigue
125
Tianyi Li, Xinjian Wang, Yinwei Feng, Huanxin Wang, Yuhao Cao, Zhengjiang Liu
Severity Prediction Of Maritime Accidents Based On Feature Selection And Data Balance Method
135
Xinyi Lv, Huanxin Wang, Yinwei Feng, Xinjian Wang, Qing Yu, Zhengjiang Liu
Analysis Of Influential Factors Of Maritime Accidents In Different Waters Based On Combined AR
And DEMATEL
145
Adolphus Lye, Scott Ferson, Sicong Xiao
Stochastic Model Updating Using Jenson-Shannon Divergence For Model Calibration And Validation
Under Limited Data
155
Leonardo Marrazzini, Martina Olivieri, Marcello Braglia, Francesco Di Paco, Marco Frosolini, Roberto
Gabbrielli, Davide Gattamelata, Danilo Monarca, Pierluigi Rossi, Leonardo Vita
Agricultural Fatal Incidents Involving Use Of Self Propelled Machineries With Operator On Board:
Preliminary Analysis
165
Hasan Misaii, Mitra Fouladirad, Bahman Askari, Amélie Durupt
Predictive Degradation Modelling Using AI: Milling Machine Case Study
175
Lucas Restivo de Oliveira, Moacyr Machado Cardoso Junior
Beyond Single Causes And Unilateral Solutions: Naturalistic Decision Making Approach To Apollo 13
Accident
185
Wensheng Peng, Zhaoyang Zeng
An ETFPGs Model Based Safety Assessment Method for Interval-Probabilistic Hybrid Uncertainty
System
195
Alice Schiaroli, Federica Ricci, Dimitrios Tzioutzios, Nicola Paltrinieri, Valerio Cozzani, Federico
Ustolin
Natech Accidents Triggered By Heat Waves: Performance Of Safety Barriers
205
Katarzyna Stolecka-Antczak, Andrzej Rusin, Wojciech Kosman, Krzysztof Rusin, Nicola Paltrinieri
Risk Of Explosion In Hydrogen Refueling Station Due To Uncontrolled Gas Release
215